As we all know, the Mets have moved in sections of the fences for the 2012 season. Will this change increase homeruns? This is difficult to evaluate. There are simply too many factors to account for, most of which are impossible to measure (psychological influences, hitter performance, pitcher performance, weather and luck just to name a few).
However, there is one easy to measure metric: travel distance. Quite simply, which homeruns this season wouldn’t have been homeruns last season?
This is what I have set forth to measure and compile into one easy to use location. After each home game I will consult video of each and every homerun. I will record them and label the hitter and pitcher. You will easily be able to see which homeruns would and would not have been homeruns given the old dimensions of Citi Field. This isn’t a perfect metric for measuring the effect of bringing in the walls, far from it, but it will give us an idea without relying too heavily upon our faulty memories and emotions.
How I will record homeruns:
I have created the following image of Citi Field:
The orange line represents the current outfield wall, and the blue areas represent field area that have been removed by moving in the fences. In other words, any homerun that lands in the blue area would not have been a homerun last season.
There are two types of homeruns I will mark:
Those that would have been a homerun before moving the walls will be marked with a small red dot labeled with the name of the hitter and the name of the pitcher in the following format: Hitter v Pitcher.
Those that are only a homerun after moving in the walls will be marked with a small yellow dot and labeled with the name of the hitter and pitcher following the same format.
In this manner everyone will be able to quickly look at each image and take note of which homeruns would and would not have been homeruns prior to moving in the fences merely by looking at the corresponding colors.